Global Catastrophic Risks 2026: Key Government Reports
A dated comparison of UK and US risk assessments, the independent Doomsday Clock and older IPCC and NIST baselines, with clear limits on what each source establishes.
Systemic Risks
MIT 1972 Study: Reassessing Collapse by 2040
The 1972 MIT model warned of civilizational pressures building toward 2040. Recent empirical checks reveal troubling alignments, yet fertility drops and adaptation complicate fixed outcomes.
AARO 2025 UAP Workshop: Sources and Data Questions
A source guide to AARO’s 2025 UAP workshop and separate declassification paper, with data-quality questions and explicit limits on document verification.